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Tornado

Prediction And Tracking Of Tornadoes



The precise tracking and prediction of tornadoes is not yet a reality. Meteorologists can identify conditions that are likely to lead to severe storms. They can issue warnings when atmospheric conditions are right for the development of tornadoes. They can use radar to track the path of thunderstorms that might produce tornadoes. It is still not possible, however, to detect a funnel cloud by radar and predict its path, touchdown point, and other important details. Much progress has recently been made in the detection of tornadoes using Doppler radar.



Doppler radar can measure not just the distance to an object, but also its velocity by using the Doppler effect: if an object is moving toward an observer, radar waves bounced off the object will have a higher frequency than if the object were moving away. This effect can be demonstrated with sound waves. If a car is approaching with its horn sounding, the pitch of the horn (that is, the frequency of the sound waves) seems to rise. It reaches a peak just as the car passes, then falls as the car speeds away from the listener.

Doppler radar is used to detect the motion of raindrops and hail in a thunderstorm, which gives an indication of the motion of the winds. With present technology it is possible to detect the overall storm circulation and even a developing mesocyclone. The relatively small size of a tornado makes direct detection very difficult with the current generation of Doppler radar. In addition any radar is limited by the curvature of Earth. Radar waves go in straight lines, which means distant storms that are "below the horizon" from the radar cannot be probed with this technique.

Tornadoes, which have long fascinated people with their sudden appearance and awesome destructive power, are still subjects of intense scientific study. Research continues on the formation life history and detection of these most impressive storms.

Resources

Books

Battan, Louis J. Weather. Engelwood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall Inc., 1985.

Battan, Louis J. Weather in Your Life. New York: W.H. Freeman & Co., 1983.

Danielson, Eric W., James Levin, and Elliot Abrams. Meteorology. 2nd ed. with CD-ROM. Columbus: McGraw-Hill Science/Engineering/Math, 2002.

Hardy, Ralph, Peter Wright, John Kington, and John Gribben. The Weather Book. Boston: Little, Brown and Co., 1982.

Lewellen, W.S. "Tornado Vortex Theory." In The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics and Hazards. Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union, 1993.

McNeill, Robert. Understanding the Weather. Las Vegas: Arbor Publishers, 1991.

Mogil, H. Michael, and Barbara G. Levine. The Amateur Meteorologist. New York: Franklin Watts, 1993.

Periodicals

Schmidlin, Thomas. "Unsafe At Any (Wind) Speed." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 83, no. 12 (2002): 1821-1830.


James Marti

KEY TERMS

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Dew point

—The temperature at which water vapor in the air condenses to form liquid water droplets.

Doppler radar

—A type of radar that measures both the position and the velocity of an object.

Front

—A fairly sharp temperature boundary in the lower atmosphere.

Fujita scale

—A scale of one to six which rates tornado wind speed based upon the observed destruction of the storm.

Funnel cloud

—A fully developed tornado vortex before it has touched the ground.

Latent heat

—The heat released when water vapor condenses to form liquid water.

Skipping

—The tendency of tornado damage to be random as if the tornado skips along in its path.

Suction vortices

—Secondary vortices that are theorized to be part of a tornado vortex. They may be responsible for the "skipping" behavior of tornadoes.

Unstable atmosphere

—The condition of the atmosphere when air temperature drops rapidly with height. Such conditions support rising air and contribute to strong thunderstorms.

Vortex

—A rotating column of a fluid such as air or water.

Vorticity

—The tendency of an air mass to rotate.

Wall cloud

—The characteristic cloud that forms at the base of a thunderstorm before a funnel cloud appears.

Additional topics

Science EncyclopediaScience & Philosophy: Thallophyta to ToxicologyTornado - Tornado Formation, Tornado Characteristics, Tornado History, Prediction And Tracking Of Tornadoes